2018 Oscar Preview with Chris & Ron [Exclusive]

On March 4th the 90th Academy Awards Ceremony, presented by the Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences (AMPAS), will broadcast out from the Dolby Theater in Hollywood to an estimated 35 million viewers in the United States. The first Academy Awards were a private event hosted by Douglas Fairbanks and William C. deMille on May 16th, 1929 which lasted fifteen-minute to an audience of around 270 guests. William A. Wellman’s film “Wings” (1928) won the Academy’s first Best Picture award. By 1929, filmmaking had become an established industry and a profitable artform. Although, this was not the case initially. Film has existed for 122 years so far and will still exist for years beyond. Nearly every aspect of the film business has changed over those 122 years apart from one entrenched traditional element – the voting members of the industry’s most “prestigious” award ceremonies.

The brothers Auguste and Louis Lumiere held the world’s first screening of projected motion on December 28th, 1895 in Paris, France. This event included the brother’s first film “Workers Leaving the Lumiere Factory” (1895), a 50 second micro documentary of, workers leaving the Lumiere Factory. Fascinating, I know, but revolutionary for its time. While this video would be lucky to receive 100 views on YouTube today, that screening represents a paradigm shift in art for the 20th century. Early on film was considered radical by established artists. It would take many years for film to be recognized, let alone legitimized by a critical body. The Academy Awards remain the oldest film award ceremony beginning 34 years after the brothers Lumiere’s first screening.

The Lumiere Brothers

The technology used by 1895 filmmakers would not be recognizable by modern creators. The use of sound, the standardization of film rate, the use of widescreen in amazing Cinemascope, the addition of Technicolor, 3D, intercutting, the 180-degree rule, etcetera. All these advancements in technology pushed the boundaries of what film could be, a limitless possibility of imaginative storytelling.

The Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences has just over 6,000 voting members. Twenty-two percent of those voters are held by actors. Additionally, 91 percent of the members are white and 76 percent male. The average age of a voting member is 63 years of age. To simplify, the Academy voters who decided the “best” in a year’s film releases are old white guys. This is the problem of the Oscars.
Art is a living entity and reflection of the current generation. Art should push boundaries and brake established models. Artists should be recognized for experimentation and advancements in their craft.

The Academy is not designed to give this by its own limiting demographics. Superhero films get no love. Comedic actors are never recognized. Best Picture cannot be an animated film. Sean Bakers “The Florida Project” (2017) gets little recognition for its unique composition. I imagine Steven Soderbergh’s 2018 film “Unsane”, shot completely on an iPhone, will receive little acknowledgment from the Academy in 2019.The 90th Academy Awards represents great films. But they don’t represent everything cinematic for the year. The Oscars are very narrow and minuet in their reach. Many of our modern works are left behind. New approaches to film creation and narrative structure take a generation to be recognized. The best of year does not have to be a gritty drama. While I enjoy the Oscars, I understand that these few selected films are the cumulative “Best” of what film has to offer an audience.

*****

 

So here is what you do folks: Head on over to our FACEBOOK EVENT PAGE from the Trainwreck’d Society Facebook page, and leave a simple reply anywhere stating that you are on “Team Chris” or “Team Ron” when you have decided who you believe made the best choice. The pointing system works as follows:

Correct “Want to Win” = 0.5 points

Correct “Going to Win” = 1.0 points

So tell us what you think, and if you choose the winner, you are entered into a pool to win an exceptionally mediocre prize of the finest Korean bootlegs from 2012-2013 (and before), a copy of Children of Mercy: Tales and Teachings From the World of Independent Music, and more!

So let’s have some fun!

*****

BEST PICTURE

CALL ME BY YOUR NAME
DARKEST HOUR
DUNKIRK
GET OUT
LADY BIRD
PHANTOM THREAD
THE POST
THE SHAPE OF WATER

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WIN: The Shape of Water. Guillermo Del Toro’s “The Shape of Water” is an experience in all the elements of filmmaking: story, character, cinematography, technical achievements, etcetera.  This is a theatrical film to be experienced using old Hollywood B Film tropes mixed with a modern context. There is a fascinating juxtaposition to the “classic” monster archetype and who the world’s monster are lurking in suits. “The Shape of Water” is a beautiful work of art. And fun. Fun is important too.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Get Out. Honestly, I’m certain that it will not win in this category, but in my heart of hearts, I truly loved this very original film.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: SAME.
Guillermo Del Toro’s The Shape of Water.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: The Shape of Water. I believe there may be some history made in this year’s Oscars, but not so much so that it will deviate from the long standing coalition with the DGA that has determined the winner 95% of all years since 1948. So, yeah, good job del Toro, I guess, with your fish fucking film.


BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Timothee Chalamet for CALL ME BY YOUR NAME
Daniel Day-Lewis for PHANTOM THREAD
Daniel Kaluuya for GET OUT
Gary Oldman for DARKEST HOUR
Denzel Washington for ROMAN J. ISRAEL, ESQ.

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WIN: Daniel Day Lewis for Phantom Thread. Daniel Day-Lewis is the greatest actor who has ever lived. My concrete answer. This is his final role before retirement. Daniel Day-Lewis has already won an Oscar before his “Phantom Thread” nomination. Like all his prior works, this is an amazing character analysis beautifully constructed. His characters are always complicated real people. There is little chance of this award going to Daniel Day-Lewis, but a nomination is a nice thank you for a body of work.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Daniel Kaluuya for Get Out. Again, not very confident that Daniel will win, or that he even deserves it more than the others. But, dammit, this was a great film.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Gary Oldman for The Darkest Hour (imaging me yelling his name like a Gary Oldman character would do). Oldman has been making films since 1986 with his portrayal of Sid Vicious in “Sid and Nancy” (1986). Oldman has been nominated only once before in “Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy” (2012). This win will be for his body of work. A lifetime achievement award but for Best Actor. Deserving for so many great characters. But Daniel Day-Lewis had already won one.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Gary Oldman for Darkest Hour. I believe that Oldman is probably rightfully poised to sweep the acting category this year, if not only for his contributions over the last 30 years or so. He may be the 2nd best character actor we have, but I don’t think he is going to the 1st this time around, in the hopes of ruining DDL’s plans of becoming a cobbler or some shit.


BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Willem Dafoe for THE FLORIDA PROJECT
Woody Harrelson for THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
Richard Jenkins for THE SHAPE OF WATER
Christopher Plummer for ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD
Sam Rockwell for THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINSam Rockwell for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. This category is a very tight affair. Although Christopher Plummer was added as a fuck you to Kevin Spacey which is a fine reason in my book. While tough to decide, I must go with Sam Rockwell. Another actor who has never won an Oscar but has already won all the other awards for this category this year. Rockwell is great actor and deserving of the award even though this is not his best performance in long great career
Sam Rockwell for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Sam Rockwell for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri. Rockwell may be one of the greatest supporting actors we’ve had since Robert Duvall in his prime. Also I always think he is Giovanni Ribisi, so I feel kind of bad about that.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: SAME.
Sam Rockwell for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Sam Rockwell for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Mossouri. Three Billboards has received a lot of flack for being somewhat overrated, but the acting is always praised heavily. Sam and Francis are going to be the only winners for the film.


BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Sally Hawkins for THE SHAPE OF WATER
Frances McDormand for THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
Margot Robbie for I, TONYA
Saoirse Ronan for LADY BIRD
Meryl Streep for THE POST

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINSally Hawkins for The Shape of Water. Sally Hawkins deserves the win for her perfect performance. She speaks only seven words in the entire film due to her character being mute. Everything she does is through body expression and her eyes. I need to give Margot Robbie credit though. I saw “I, Tonya” very recently and her abilities to take on a role is also incredible. I forgot Margot Robbie was an actor portraying Tonya Harding.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Margot Robbie for I, Tonya. Being a Northwest kid, I feel obligated to support anything about the bad girl of competitive ice-skating, the great Tonya Harding.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: SAME.
Sally Hawkins for The Shape of Water

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Frances McDormand for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. McDormand has been poised to win for quite a while, and I really don’t believe that the Academy will deviate from the plan.

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Mary J. Blige for MUDBOUND
Allison Janney for I, TONYA
Lesley Manville for PHANTOM THREAD
Laurie Metcalf for LADY BIRD
Octavia Spencer for THE SHAPE OF WATER

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINLaure Metcalf for Lady Bird. I grew up watching Jackie on the show “Roseanne”. She played a mom then too. In “Lady Bird”, taking place in 2002 with her 17-year-old daughter Lady Bird, Lesley’s portrayal of a struggling lower middle-class family is so subtle and true and real and most importantly authentic. I don’t know of another actress who could have performed this character with so much care and understanding.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Laure Metcalf for Lady Bird. I know I literally just said I was obliged to choose all things Tonya Harding, but I really just meant Margot’s portrayal specifically. Metcalf is one of the most underrated actress of our time. She’s celebrated on the stage and on television, it’s time to round it all off!

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Allison Janney for I, Tonya. Allison Janney is a nasty villain. A nomination for best villain monologue “You think Sonja Henie’s mother loved her? Poor fuckin’ you. I didn’t stay home making apple brown bettys. No, I made you a champion knowing you’d hate me for it. That’s the sacrifice a mother makes. I wish I had a mother like me instead of nice. Nice gets you shit. I didn’t like my mother either, so what? I fucking gave you a gift”. Allison portrayal of this nasty woman makes you, as an audience member, chest tighten. A villain who believes she is right in her actions. A Villain of epic performance. Also comedic in a dark comedy kind of way. Weird contradiction feeling from Janney’s acting.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Laurie Metcalf for Lady Bird. I really need to see Lady Bird, but I’m sure she was great. This will essentially be a lifetime achievement award for an actress who will probably never receive an actual lifetime achievement award for film work


.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

The BOSS BABY
THE BREADWINNER
COCO
FERDINAND
LOVING VINCENT

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WIN: Coco from Pixar. This was one of their lowest performing films at the box-office. But the competition is not very good this year. Fuck you Boss Baby.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Coco. I really don’t have a dog in the race, but I’m certain it doesn’t matter. I’d like to be cool and say that Van Gogh thing, but I’d honestly never watch that. And with Trump in office, I’d say a win for our friends to the south is in order. So, “Coco”.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: SAME.
Coco

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Coco.


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Roger A. Deakins for BLADE RUNNER 2049
Bruno Delbonnel for DARKEST HOUR
Hoyte van Hoytema for DUNKIRK
Rachel Morrison for MUDBOUND
Dan Laustsen for THE SHAPE OF WATER

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINRoger A. Deakins for Blade Runner 2049. If Roger Deakins does not win, this year, yet again, this will be a tragedy. This is Deakin’s 14th nomination for Best Cinematography going all the way back to 1994 with “The Shawshank Redemption”. Deakin’s body of work is a top contender for best DPs who have ever worked. Every shot composition is unique and gorgeous. “Blade Runner 2049” is a gorgeous film like all Deakins prior work. Deakins should win for his body of work and for this film. Deakins should have won 7 of these awards already.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Roger A. Deakins for Blade Runner 2049. Even though Deakins is on his 14th nomination, I feel like I would be pleasantly surprised if he won this one. But, I believe he is the most deserving of the bunch.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: SAME.
Roger A. Deakins for Blade Runner 2049.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Hoyte van Hoytema for Dunkirk. A big ass war movie that was meant to be side on a super wide screen, in theatres that is also nominated for best picture? Seems obvious! Or not.


BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Jacqueline Durran for BEAUTY AND THE BEAST
Jacqueline Durran for DARKEST HOUR
Mark Bridges for PHANTOM THREAD
Luis Sequeira for THE SHAPE OF WATER
Consolata Boyle for VICTORIA & ABDUL

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINMark Bridges for Phantom Thread. “Phantom Thread” is about fashion and creating clothes. Yes, an extremely simple read of the film and a satirical comment, but come on now, the movie is about clothing and fashion and control, but not really. Please check out Paul Thomas Anderson’s work. This filmmaker is amazing. Just not “Inherent Vice” (2014).

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Jacqueline Durran for Beauty And The Beast. As a general rule, I like to choose a film I have seen. And I thought everyone looked pretty cool.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WINLuis Sequeira for The Shape of Water. “The Shape of Water” is going to clean up at the Oscars. No more live action Disney remakes. Stop it. “Beauty and the Beast” better not win!

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Luis Sequeira for The Shape Of Water. It’s the Oscar way: nominate a female twice, and still pick a male. It’s basically a throw away award to them. I can’t wait for the internet controversy about a film about making clothes not winning the clothing category. Or I will just be extremely wrong on all counts.

BEST DIRECTING

Christopher Nolan for DUNKIRK
Jordan Peel for GET OUT
Greta Gerwig for LADY BIRD
Paul Thomas Anderson for PHANTOM THREAD
Guillermo del Toro for THE SHAPE OF WATER

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINGuillermo del Toro for The Shape of Water. Guillermo Del Toro should win for reason I spoke of for Best Picture. I believe these top awards are all going to be split up in a very rare action. “The Shape of Water” is not the same movie without del Toro’s direction.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Jordan Peele for Get Out. Same sentiment as before. Not even sure if you really deserves it more than the others, I just thought it was such an original and creative idea for a film, and hit all the right notes for me.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WINChristopher Nolan for Dunkirk. Christopher Nolan will finally get an Oscar. “Dunkirk” in my opinion is phenomenal movie breaking some of the traditional approaches to film making like not having characters. Which I appreciated. Finally, “The Dark Knight” will get its best direct award. Superhero movies don’t get love.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Guillermo del Toro for The Shape Of Water. Because apparently people like fish fucking films.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

ABACUS: SMALL ENOUGH TO JAIL
FACES PLACES
ICARUS
LAST MEN IN ALEPPO
STRONG ISLAND

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINFaces Places. French..? French Countryside? French New Wave. Ninety-five percent of people have not seen any of these films.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Faces Places. No dog in the race, really. I just like rural France. It’s pretty.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: SAME.
Faces Places

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Faces Places. The praise has been tremendous (by the 6 people who have seen it).


BEST DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT)

EDITH+EDITH
HEAVEN IS A TRAFFIC JAM ON THE 405
HEROIN(E)
KNIFE SKILLS
TRAFFIC STOP

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINHeroin(e). Did not get a chance to see any of these films. Guess Time. Just like a lot of the Academy 6,000 members!

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Heroin(e). No reason really, I just like stuff about heroin. Is that weird?

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WINKnife Skills. Did not get a chance to see any of these films. Guess Time. Just like a lot of the Academy 6,000 members!

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Heroin(e). Same.


BEST FILM EDITING

Paul Machliss and Jonathan Amos for BABY DRIVER
Lee Smith for DUNKIRK
Tatiana S. Riegel for I, TONYA
Sidney Wolinsky for THE SHAPE OF WATER
Jon Gregory for THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINLee Smith for Dunkirk. “Dunkirk” is not an ordinary film. It does not rely on characters and narrative to tell its story. “Dunkirk” is more a kick to the stomach of raw feeling. This is accomplished through Hans Zimmer’s relentless score and the incredible editing of the film. The Film must balance three storylines taking place at three different times building towards a cumulative moment. “Baby Driver” would be a good win here for the same reasons. “Baby Driver” just had better use of characters and pop, and honestly, is a much more fun time at the theaters. “Dunkirk” makes you want to sit in dark room for an hour while “Baby Driver” makes you want to high five.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Paul Machliss and Jonathan Amos for Baby Driver. This film was just so damn COOL! I would give every award for sound and editing to them, hands down. It wasn’t a better film than others, but it was extremely cool to watch. And that takes some damn fine editing.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WINPaul Machliss and Jonathan Amos for Baby Driver. “Baby Driver’s” editing is very tight but still naturally fluid. The way the editing plays into the music, or the music plays into the editing. I don’t know. It is just a magical fun movie.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Sidney Wolinsky for The Shape Of Water. Old school mentality that film editing coincides with the Best Picture win.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

A FANTASTIC WOMAN (Chile)
THE INSULT (Lebanon)
LOVELESS (Russia)
ON BODY AND SOUL (Hungary)
THE SQUARE (Sweden)

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINThe Square. The Swedes have come to town in this satirical comedy “The Square”. If you want to watch something with subtitles, make it this film. Although, I didn’t see any of the other films here.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: The Square. I watched a shit ton of great films from all over the world (as reflected in our Top 20 Films of 2017 feature) but sadly, it was absolutely none of these. So, I like Sweden.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: SAME. The Square.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: SAME. The Square.

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, and Lucy Sibbick for DARKEST HOUR
Daniel Phillips and Lou Sheppard for VICTORIA & ABDUL
Arjen Tuiten for WONDER

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINKazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, and Lucy Sibbick for Darkest Hour. Gary Oldman’s transformation into Winston Churchill was twofold. One, Oldman’s amazing acting ability and two, his prosthetic makeup is amazing! When dealing with celebrity, it is hard to forget about the actor playing the role. Oldman has made over 30 films and stands out as Oldman playing _______. In this case, thanks to amazing makeup, Gary Oldman gets lost and Winston Churchill comes to life. Amazing.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, & Lucy Sibbick for Darkest Hour. They recreated Winston Churchill to be even more frightening. Enough said.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: SAME.
Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, and Lucy Sibbick for Darkest Hour.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, & Lucy Sibbick for Darkest Hour. Hint: It’s in the Best Picture category.

BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)

Hans Zimmer for DUNKIRK
Jonny Greenwood for PHANTOM THREAD
John Williams for STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI
Carter Burwell for THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINJonny Greenwood for Phantom Thread. Hans Zimmer and John Williams have been nominated a lot. This is John Williams 51st nomination. His music defines multiple generations. Who I would like to see win this category is Jonny Greenwood from Radiohead. His music compositions intrigue me. I can listen to his scores continuous without getting bored. Greenwood’s themes for the characters of “Phantom Thread” elevate the emotional element of the film.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Jonny Greenwood for Phantom Thread. I want something FRESH! I’m an established “Radiohead is overrated” kind of guy, but I’d still like to see Jonny get the W. I think we are done with John Williams, right? And Zimmer?

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WINHans Zimmer for Dunkirk. Hans Zimmer will win this year for “Dunkirk”. The score is what drives that film and makes it work. Zimmer’s work builds through the entire film continually adding dread being felt by the audience. That is the singular goal of this film, to make the audience’s’ heart tighten. This movie had to have been seen in theaters to understand that build up. Home Theater does not work for this movie.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Jonny Greenwood for Phantom Thread. I really think this is going to happen. I think the Academy is a group of old rich white dudes who probably think that voting for Radiohead will make them seem pretty darned cool, as they would probably say.


BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)

Mary J. Blige, Raphael Saadiq, and Taura Stinson for “Mighty River” from MUDBOUND
Sufjan Stevens for “Mystery of Love” from CALL ME BY YOUR NAME
Kristen-Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez for “Remember Me” from COCO
Diane Warren and Lonnie R. Lynn for “Stand Up for Something” from MARSHALL
Benj Pasek and Justin Paul for “This Is Me” from THE GREATEST SHOWMAN

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINSufjan Stevens for “Mystery of Love” from Call Me by Your Name. Give Sufjan Stevens love!

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Mary J. Blige, Raphael Saadiq, and Taura Stinson for “Mighty River” from Mudbound. M.J. and the dude from Tony, Toni, Tone!? Oh hell yeah, give me that!

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: SAME.
Sufjan Stevens for “Mystery of Love” from Call Me by Your Name.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Sufjan Stevens for “Mystery of Love” from Call Me by Your Name. #OscarSoWhite


BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Sarah Greenwood & Katie Spencer for BEAUTY AND THE BEAST
Dennis Gassner & Alessandra Querzola for BLADE RUNNER 2049
Sarah Greenwood & Katie Spencer for DARKEST HOUR
Nathan Crowley & Gary Fettis for DUNKIRK
Paul Denham Austerber & Shane Vieau & Jeff Melvin for THE SHAPE OF WATER

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WIN:Dennis Gassner & Alessandra Querzola for Blade Runner 2049. “Blade Runner 2049” was world building at its finest. An incredible achievement, but “The Shape of Water” is going to clean up this year.  The finest and most minute details in “Blade Runner 2049” were never overlooked.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Dennis Gassner & Alessandra Querzola for Blade Runner 2049. From what I have seen, this whole damn film was JUST a huge production design. And for a 13 hour long movie, that takes some serious work!

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WINPaul Denham Austerber & Shane Vieau & Jeff Melvin for The Shape of Water. “The Shape of Water” will dominate this year. 1950s Americana Cold War B movie monster film is modernized. It’s also a fairytale. The movie just works damn it.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Paul Denham Austerber & Shane Vieau & Jeff Melvin for The Shape Of Water. I’d like to say that the production design category is separating itself from other throwaway awards, but Wes Anderson didn’t have a film this year, so back to fish fucking.


BEST SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

DEAR BASKETBALL
GARDEN PARTY
LOU
NEGATIVE SPACE
REVOLTING RHYMES

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINGarden Party. Did not see any of these films, but voting nonetheless, just like the Academy 6,000 members.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Dear Basketball. I honestly don’t even care what the other nominees are. I’m sure they are great, but…. ACADEMY AWARD WINNER KOBE BRYANT???

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WINNegative Space. Did not see any of these films, but voting nonetheless, just like the Academy 6,000 members.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Dear Basketball. ACADEMY AWARD WINNER KOBE BRYANT!!!!


BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)

DEKALB ELEMENTARY
THE ELEVEN O’CLOCK
MY NEPHEW EMMETT
THE SILENT CHILD
WATU WOTE/ALL OF US

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINThe Eleven O’ Clock. Did not see any of these films, but voting nonetheless, just like the Academy 6,000 members.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: DeKalb Elementary. Sure.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WINThe Silent Child. Did not see any of these films, but voting nonetheless, just like the Academy 6,000 members.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: DeKalb Elementary. Go big or go home on a guess, I guess.


BEST SOUND EDITING

Julian Slater for BABY DRIVER
Mark Mangini and Theo Green for BLADE RUNNER 2049
Richard King and Alex Gibson for DUNKIRK
Nathan Robitaille and Nelson Ferreira for THE SHAPE OF WATER
Matthew Wood and Ren Klyce for STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINNathan Robitaille and Nelson Ferreira for The Shape of Water. Sound editing is the creation of sound effects. The award is usually received by the Supervising Sound Editors of the film, sometimes accompanied by the Sound Designers. I am torn between “Blade Runner 2049” and “The Shape of Water”. Both films approach to sound editing help to build their interesting worlds. I want to see “Blade Runner 2049” win some awards, but I still feel “The Shape of Water” did it better with more nuance. The creature sounds and use of water as both a pool and rain were just amazing to experience in a theater.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Julian Slater for Baby Driver. They synchronicity was absolutely brilliant!

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: SAME.
Nathan Robitaille and Nelson Ferreira for The Shape of Water.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Nathan Robiataille and Nelson Ferreira for The Shape Of Water. I have a feeling that Dunkirk probably deserves the technical awards more, but may be largely ignored. Or I could be wrong.


BEST SOUND MIXING

Mary H. Ellis, Julian Slater, & Tim Cavagin for BABY DRIVER
Mac Ruth, Ron Bartlett, & Doug Hephill for BLADE RUNNER 2049
Mark Weingarten, Gregg Landaker, & Gary A. Rizzo for DUNKIRK
Glen Gauthier, Christian Cooke, & Brad Zoem for THE SHAPE OF WATER
Stuart Wilson, Ron Klyce, David Parker, & Michael Semanick for STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINMark Weingarten, Gregg Landaker, & Gary A. Rizzo for Dunkirk. Sound Mixing is the best overall mixing or recording of a film and is generally awarded to the production sound mixers and re-recording mixers. I love the sound design on both “Blade Runner 2049” and “Dunkirk”. Both films were scored by Hans Zimmer. Both films are very loud with the use of their score. In the case of “Dunkirk”, Zimmer’s score builds so much tension through the film you think you will explode while Zimmer’s score in “Blade Runner 2049” helps build a dystopian future of long shots. I appreciated both approaches, but “Baby Driver” will come up on top. All the sound elements are mixed in such a fluid way that adds to the storytelling as if it was a character on set in its own terms.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Mary H. Ellis, Julian Slater, & Tim Cavagin for Baby Driver. Same sentiment as the Sound Editing category because I’m not really smart enough on the technicalities to really know what the difference is, but I am willing to admit that openly so it’s cool, right?

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WINMary H. Ellis, Julian Slater, & Tim Cavagin for Baby Driver. The “Baby Driver” mix is just so perfect and balanced blending so many elements tighter to which all those pieces inform the story.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Glen Gauthier, Christian Cooke, & Brad Zoem for The Shape Of Water. Same sentiment as the Sound Editing category.


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

John Nelson, Paul Lambert, Richard R. Hoover, & Gerd Nefzer for BLADE RUNNER 2049
Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Jonathan Fawkner, & Dan Suddick GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL. 2
Stephen Rosenbaum, Jeff White, Scott Benza, & Mike Meinardus for KONG: SKULL ISLAND
Ben Morris, Mike Mulholland, Chris Corbould, & Neal Scanlan for STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI
Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Daniel Barrett, & Joel Whist for WAR FOR THE PLANET OF THE APES

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINJohn Nelson, Paul Lambert, Richard R. Hoover, & Gerd Nefzer for Blade Runner 2049. I want “Blade Runner 2049” to win a few awards. That film should have done better than it did. The visuals are gorgeous and photo real. There are several story elements which require the use of composition for other actors in interesting ways that expand the story. This is a bias choice.

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: John Nelson, Paul Lambert, Richard R. Hoover, & Gerd Nefzer for BLADE RUNNER 2049. Less CGI, the better in my opinion.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WINJoe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Daniel Barrett, & Joel Whist for War for the Planet of the Apes. There is no competition for this motion capture work. This team created photo real animals. It is incredible work. The eyes are what sell these creatures. It is a shame Andy Serkis was never nominated for any of his motion capture work. It is both his performance and this team which combined in such a way it is impossible to see where one part starts and the other ends. This is the same for costume and makeup people, here they are just working digital rather than practical.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: John Nelson, Paul Lambert, Richard R. Hoover, & Gerd Nefzer for Blade Runner 2049. It’s the only “film” on this list of “movies”.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

James Ivory for CALL ME BY YOUR NAME
Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber for THE DISASTER ARTIST
Scott Frank, James Mangold, & Michael Green for LOGAN
Aaron Sorkin for MOLLY’S GAME
Virgil Williams & Dee Rees for MUDBOUND

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINScott Frank, James Mangold, & Michael Green for Logan. “Black Panther” released on February 16th, 2018 and is the MCU’s 18th film. That number does not reflect any Fox Marvel films, Sony Marvel Films, DC films and etcetera. Superhero movies represent an absorbent amount of the yearly box-office but receive little recognition for what they accomplish in narrative storytelling. They are tentpole films of the modern age. “Logan” takes this modern genre and throws it back to the classic American Western. It is time for Superhero films to receive some credit for their accomplishments. Yeah, I cried at the end of this film. Because it’s good!

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber for The Disaster Artist. The hype sort of came and went for this one, but I am genuinely intrigued by the events that took place in making the well deservingly titled “worst film of all time”, The Room.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: SAME.
Scott Frank, James Mangold, & Michael Green for Logan

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: James Ivory for Call Me By Your Name. It was an insanely weak year for the adapted screenplay world. So, I truly believe that Ivory will sneak his way in through the back door on this one.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani for THE BIG SICK
Jordan Peele for GET OUT
Greta Gerwig for LADY BIRD
Guillermo del Toro & Vanessa Taylor for THE SHAPE OF WATER
Martin McDonagh for THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI

WHO CHRIS WANTS TO WINGreta Gerwig for Lady Bird. To be honest, I have had a celebrity crush on Greta Gerwig for a long time. Both her and Jordan Peele are first time directors and filmmakers this year, although Greta has collaborated in the writing process for a few films now. Jordan Peel also has a long history of writing. Guillermo del Toro is going to clean up in most other categories but for this case Greta is my writer!

WHO RON WANTS TO WIN: Jordan Peele for Get Out. I am honestly saddened by the fact that The Big Sick and Get Out were released in the same year, and both nominated. It was like choosing my favorite kid, you know? Except choosing a kid would be easier. These two film s were wildly different, but both oh so original, and I loved them so much. But in the end, Get Out Just stuck with me a bit more. Either way, I’m just happy to see that comedy people are raking in some serious dough/awards.

WHO CHRIS THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WINJordan Peele for Get Out. “Get Out” found its way into the zeitgeist and stayed there. Most films which come out in the first half of the year are forgotten about when award seasons begins. “Get Out” has stayed relevant for a long time. Jordan Peele must win for something. Why not an amazing narrative which takes genre and has fun with it. Also, social commentary is a thing for the Academy.

WHO RON THINKS WILL ACTUALLY WIN: Jordan Peele for Get Out. Jordan Peele has done something no one has managed to do with a film. He told a brilliant story that mixed social commentary with just the right amount of suspense & comedy to tap into every human emotion possible to bring a very serious bit of subject matter out into the world. He deserves this so damn much.

Advertisements

About rontrembathiii
write. write. write.

One Response to 2018 Oscar Preview with Chris & Ron [Exclusive]

  1. John Huerta says:

    Best Picture: Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
    Director: Guillermo del Toro,The Shape of Water
    Best Actor: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
    Best Actress:Frances McDormand,Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
    Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
    Supporting Actress: Allison Janney, I’Tonya
    Foreign Language Film: A Fantastic Woman
    Cinematography: Blade Runner 2049
    Film Editing: Dunkirk
    Short Film, Live Action: The Silent Child
    Sound Mixing: Dunkirk
    Visual Effects: Blade Runner 2049
    Original Score: The Shape of Water
    Original Song:”Remember Me” from Coco
    Sound Editing: Dunkirk
    Makeup and Hairstyling: Darkest Hour
    Original Screenplay: Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
    Adapted Screenplay: Call me by your name
    Costume Design: Phantom Thread
    Documentary Feature: Faces Places
    Documentary, Short Subject:Heroin(e)
    Production Design: The Shape of Water
    Animated Feature: Coco
    and Animated Short: Dear Basketball

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: